I’m making early Premier League predictions this season.
Team | 2024-25 Actual | 2025-26 Predicted | Notes |
---|---|---|---|
Liverpool | 1 | 1 | What if Salah drops off, but the £300m of recent spending pick up the slack? |
Manchester City | 3 | 2 | Too much Pep, too much Haaland, too much money |
Chelsea | 4 | 3 | If you spend a billion pounds, you should probably finish top 4 |
Arsenal | 2 | 4 | As low as I can reasonably put them |
Newcastle | 5 | 5 | Could easily finish five spots lower if they prioritize the CL |
Villa | 6 | 6 | The Europa League means they can probably prioritize the Premier League for 2/3 of the season |
Spurs | 17 | 7 | I am certain that Tottenham will not finish lower than last season. Finishing higher than 7th is entirely possible if the league is the priority. This feels like a return to “top 4 is our everything” but with much more competition and much less Harry Kane / Sonny |
Brighton | 8 | 8 | Wouldn’t be shocked for them to finish higher |
Brentford | 10 | 9 | If any club can survive losing their manager and several key players, it’s Brentford (or Brighton) ((I’m actually worried about them this year)) |
Bournemouth | 9 | 10 | When Spurs lost 4 of their 5 defensive starters, they sank to 17th. Can Bournemouth do better? |
Palace | 12 | 11 | If they hadn’t won the FA Cup and a place in the Europa (Conference) League, I’d have put them higher |
Manchester United | 15 | 12 | They finished 15th last season. This doesn’t feel overly generous, but also feels miserly? |
Fulham | 11 | 13 | Mid-table again, but could surprise me |
West Ham | 14 | 14 | See above, but without the “surprise me” part |
Nottingham Forest | 7 | 15 | They should go all-in on the Europa League |
Everton | 13 | 16 | IDK, they’ll be safe, but top half seems too much of a stretch |
Leeds | 17 | Surely one of the promoted teams will survive | |
Wolves | 16 | 18 | They’re not very good and only survived last season because the promoted teams were terrible and Spurs tanked the league |
Burnley | 19 | Welcome back to the big show, lads. Good luck. | |
Sunderland | 20 | Someone has to be the “we’re just happy to be here” team |